For one, do separate nuclear fusion from fission. Both are nuclear the way Trump and Carter are both US Presidents.
Anyway, Bayesian reasoning. My priors are the Western nuclear scientists of all stripes have not been regularly killed over the last 20 years; Iranian fission scientists have been. Iran doesn’t have a significant fusion/plasma research program in the first place.
For one, do separate nuclear fusion from fission. Both are nuclear the way Trump and Carter are both US Presidents.
Anyway, Bayesian reasoning. My priors are the Western nuclear scientists of all stripes have not been regularly killed over the last 20 years; Iranian fission scientists have been. Iran doesn’t have a significant fusion/plasma research program in the first place.